CB360 Composite National Rankings #10 (full release)

April 20, 2011

CollegeBaseball360′s exclusive Composite National Rankings – which now include 11 elements in the formula (six polls/rankings; three RPI calculations; and the respective NCAA Tournament fields compiled by ESPN Bracketology and SEbaseball.com) – were most-recently updated on April 19, with only two changes among the top-50 and some movement among the top-10 teams.  front-page photo courtesy of Oregon State

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The top-4 spots are comprised of the same teams from the previous week, with Virginia remaining #1 and South Carolina moving up from #4 to #2 (current #3 Florida and #4 Vanderbilt each dropped a spot). A pair of western teams – Cal State Fullerton (#7 to #5) and surging Oregon State (#13 to #8) – made key moves among the current top-10, as did #9 Texas (up from #11). The rest of the current top-10 includes three teams that each have dropped back one spot from the previous week: current #6 North Carolina, #7 Texas A&M and #10 Florida State.

The two teams that fell out of the top-10 are current #11 Georgia Tech (down from #10) and #12 Arizona State (previously #8), due to SEbaseball.com not including ASU in its current NCAA tournament field (pending ASU’s postseason eligibility clarification). CB360 may tweak the formula next week in order to account for this anomaly (others, including ESPN Bracketology, have included ASU in recent postseason projections).

The CNR’s current top-10 includes three SEC teams and three from the ACC, plus a pair of Big-12 teams and one each from the Big West and Pac-10. Forecasting a hypothetical grouping of the 16 NCAA Tournament #1 seeds (based on the CNR), there would be four host teams from the SEC, four more out of the ACC, and two each from the Big-12, Conference USA and Pac-10 (plus one each from the Big West and Western Athletic).

CLICK HERE & then scroll down for previous CNR releases

The CNR currently includes 11 ingredients (referenced below), with several other RPI-type raings – plus NCAA Tournament projections – set to be added to the CNR formula in the next few weeks.

Scroll to end of release for detailed description of the CNR, including direct links to current criteria.

CNR Contact: Pete LaFleur (pete@collegebaseball360.com)

SEC (10 … 3 top-10, 4 top-25) – #2 South Carolina, #3 Florida, #4 Vanderbilt, #14 Arkansas, #27 Auburn, #29 Georgia, #32 LSU, #37 Alabama, #36 Mississippi State & #39 Mississippi
Pacific-10 (6 … 1 top-10, 5 top-25) – #8 Oregon State, #12 Arizona State, #22 California, #23 Arizona, #24 UCLA & #26 Stanford
ACC (7 … 3 top-10, 6 top-25) – #1 Virginia, #6 North Carolina, #10 Florida State, #11 Georgia Tech, #21 Miami, #25 Clemson & #42 North Carolina State
Big 12 (6 … 2 top-10, 4 top-25) – #7 Texas A&M, #9 Texas, #17 Oklahoma State, #18 Oklahoma, #43 Baylor & #45 Texas Tech
Conference USA (4 … 2 top-25) – #15 Rice, #16 Southern Mississippi, #30 East Carolina & #47 Central Florida
Atlantic Sun
(3 … 1 top-25) – #20 Stetson, #44 East Tennessee & #48 Jacksonville
2 Each
– Big West (#5 Cal State Fullerton & #28 UC Irvine)
1 Each – Atlantic-10 (#49 Charlotte) … BIG EAST (#46 Connecticut) ,,, Big South (#41 Coastal Carolina) … independent (#40 Cal State Bakersfield) … Mid-American (#50 Kent State) … Missouri Valley (#35 Creighton) … Mountain West (#19 TCU) … Southern (#38 Elon) … Southland (#31 Texas State) … Sunbelt (#33 Troy) … West Coast (#34 Gonzaga) … Western Athletic (#13 Fresno State)

BIGGEST JUMPS IN THE CNR – Creighton (#49 to #35) … Elon (#48 to #38) … Rice (#24 to #15) … Auburn (#35 to #27)

NEWCOMERS/RETURNERS TO THE CNR – #42 North Carolina State & #45 Texas Tech (both were top-50 earlier this season)

DROPPED OUT OF THE CNR TOP-50 – #36 Louisville & #46 Southeastern Louisiana

BIGGEST DROPS IN THE CNR – Stanford (#16 to #26) … East Tennessee State (#32 to #44) … Troy (#20 to #33) … Kent State (#33 to #50)

College Baseball 2011 Composite National Rankings #10 (CNR)
courtesy of CollegeBaseball360.com;  April 19, 2011

RANKTEAMPOINTSWEEK-8Week-7Week-6Week-5Week-4Week-3Week-2Week-12011 Preseason
2South Carolina98.09444654579
5Cal State Fullerton91.75712111711710118
6North Carolina90.865810141516212330
7Texas A&M90.4466681317151514
8Oregon State90.14131920213036383944
10Florida State88.8197753561012
11Georgia Tech88.741098111920252423
12Arizona State86.768554867810
13Fresno State86.2612109121419193132
16Southern Mississippi80.921815162838-414546
17Oklahoma State79.91212441403844--
28UC Irvine62.93312928242623222828
30East Carolina60.503431383542-5047
31Texas State60.1937303941----
36Mississippi State56.0238-3349-----
40Cal State Bakersfield53.944137---35---
41Coastal Carolina53.924442333132352121
42North Carolina State53.0648
44East Tennessee50.773235474239----
45Texas Tech49.624043-5037--
47Central Florida49.0840-34384541434547
50Kent State46.8833-------42

COMPOSITE NATIONAL RANKINGS (CNR) CRITERIA: CB360′s 100-point Composite National Rankings formula currently is centered around 11 core ingredients and in upcoming weeks will include upwards of 20 different factors – ultimately combining a diverse collection of “experts” (ranging from coaches, various media, computer calculations and projections) – to help provide a preview of teams that could be in the running for the 2011 NCAA Championship field (hypothetically 50 teams, plus 14 others from lower-rated automatic-bid conferences – those teams will be projected in upcoming CNR updates).

Teams receive points based on their standings in each poll/rating/projection (60 pts for #1; 59 for #2, etc.). For polls involving voting points (coaches and CB) and the RPI ratings, the CNR adjusts to reward teams that have larger margins in the voting/point totals (whereas two teams with nearly the same voting-point total will be closer in the CNR allotment for that poll). Note that strength-of-schedule typically is factored into RPI formulations … thus the actual SOS numbers are not used in the CNR when RPI already are in the mix. For the NCAA field projections, teams are awarded CNR points based on their respective seedings, “last in” and “last out,” etc.

Currently, the 11 polls/ratings listed below are averaged, with 40 points then are added to each total in order to yield the 100-point benchmark. The CB360 Composite National Rankings will add factors to the formula throughout the 2011 season, with the additions to include various RPI/power rankings, NCAA Tournament projections and a late-season bonus/penalty for record over the past-10 games.

Here are links to the 11 criteria currently used in the CNR:
• National Coaches Poll (USA Today/ESPN)
• National Collegiate Baseball Writers poll
• Baseball America poll
• Colllegiate Baseball magazine rankings
• Perfect Game rankings
• College Baseball Lineup rankings
• Official NCAA RPI
• Boyd’s World “Pseudo-RPI” (this page updated daily)
• Warren Nolan RPI (updated daily)
ESPN Bracketology NCAA Tournament projection (4/12)
SEbaseball.com NCAA field-of-64 (4/19)

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