College Baseball Composite Rankings #10

April 19, 2012
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The April 17 CNR Top-50, Presented By Dugouthats.com …

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Virginia Tech (now a newcomer to the CB360 top-50) was in a celebratory mood after winning the series vs. Miami.

The Atlantic Coast Conference has surged to having 10 teams in the top-50 of the CB360 Composite National Rankings (CNR), with Virginia Tech entering the top-50 while the Southeastern Conference dropped from nine to eight teams in the top-50 (Auburn now out of top-50) and the Pac-12 slipped from eight to six (USC and Washington now sit outside the top-50). The top-3 teams – Florida State, Florida and LSU – remain in their same spots, although the Seminoles (98.44) and Gators  (98.32) are in a virtual tie for the top position. front-page photo courtesy of Virginia Tech

(Scroll down for more info. on the most-recent CNR top-50 update.)

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As we head into the second half of the 2012 season, the CNR formula now includes eight elements: five national polls/rankings, from the coaches (USA Today/ESPN), the NCBWA (writers), Baseball America, Collegiate Baseball magazine, and Perfect Game – plus the official NCAA RPI, the Warren Nolan RPI and BA’s projected NCAA field-of-64.

Starting next week, the CNR formula will expand further to include additional RPI-type numbers from Boyd’s World and Warren Nolan, plus other NCAA projections. Also next week, CB360 will provide its own projected NCAA field-of-64 (based on the CNR) and will bring back the CNR automated chart that shows each team’s 2012 week-by-week ranking among the top-50. (Some of the RPI numbers still are quite fluid, but next week’s update should provide a more accurate assessment for where most teams stand).

Elsewhere in the CB360 top-50, LSU bumped up from #6 to #4, North Carolina moved from #7 to #6 and Baylor now is #9 (up from #7). Three teams moved into the top-10 – UCLA (#11 to #5), South Carolina (#13 to #9) and Oregon (#18 to #10) – while Texas A&M slid from #4 to #8. The three teams that dropped out of the top-10 include: Stanford (#5 to #12), Miami (#8 to #19) and Arizona (#10 to #15).

Earlier CB360 Composite National Rankings (2012 season) …
• Preseason … • Update #2 … • #3 … • #4 … • #5 … • #6 … • #7 … • #8 … • #9

The CB360 top-10 now includes four teams from the SEC and two each from ACC, Big 12 and Pac-12. When projecting the 16 #1 seeds in the NCAAs, based on the current CNR, there would be five from the SEC, four Pac-12, two ACC, two Big 12, and one each from Conference USA, the Big West and Big Ten. Nearly half of the current top-50 come from either the ACC (10), SEC (8) or Pac-12 (6).

Six teams have returned to the CB360 top-50, along with newcomer Virginia Tech (#43).

Scroll down for the complete CB360 top-50, along with various breakdowns from this update. Information on the CNR formula is included at the bottom of this page.

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SCROLL DOWN for complete breakdown of the latest CNR update … 

CNR TOP-50 CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN (after week-9)
ACC 
(10 … 2 top-10, 4 top-25) – #1 Florida State, #6 North Carolina, #17 North Carolina State, #19 Miami, #28 Virginia, #37 Clemson, #39 Maryland, #40 Wake Forest, #43 Virginia Tech & #46 Georgia Tech
SEC (8 … 4 top-10, 6 top-25) – #2 Florida, #3 Kentucky, #4 LSU, #9 South Carolina, #14 Arkansas,  #21 Mississippi, #31 Georgia & #49 Mississippi State
Pacific-12 (6 …2 top-10, 5 top-25) – #5 UCLA, #10 Oregon, #12 Stanford, #15 Arizona, #25 Arizona State & #26 Oregon State
Big 12 (4 … 2 top-10, 3 top-25) – #7 Baylor, #8 Texas A&M, #9 Baylor, #23 Texas & #38 Oklahoma
Big West (3 … 1 top-25) – #13 Cal State Fullerton, #41 UC Irvine &  #42 Cal Poly
Conference USA
 (3 … 2 top-25) –  #11 Rice, #18 Central Florida & #29 East Carolina
Missouri Valley (3) – #30 Missouri State, #33 Dallas Baptist & #48 Indiana State (provisional MVC member)
West Coast (3) – #20 San Diego, #27 Gonzaga & #36 Pepperdine
Big South (2) – #47 Liberty & #50 Coastal Carolina
Southern
 (2) – #34 Appalachian State & #45 Elon
Southland (2 … 1 top-25) – #24  Sam Houston State #44 Southeastern Louisiana
1 Each
 – Big Ten (#16 Purdue) … Western Athletic (#22 New Mexico State)  … BIG EAST (#32 Louisville)… Mountain West (#35 TCU)

BIGGEST JUMPS IN THE CNR TOP-50 – TCU (#50 to #35) … Dallas Baptist (#46 to #33) … Gonzaga (#36 to #27) … Georgia (#40 to #31) … Missouri State (#38 to #30) … Pepperdine (#44 to #36) … Wake Forest (#47 to #40)

NEWCOMERS/RETURNERS TO THE CNR TOP-50 – #38 Oklahoma … #41 UC Irvine … #43 Virginia Tech … #44 Southeastern Louisiana … #47 Liberty … #50 Coastal Carolina (all but VT were in top-50 earlier this season)

DROPPED OUT OF THE CNR TOP-50 – #37 Texas State … #39 USC … #43 Auburn … #45 Florida Atlantic … #48 Belmont … #49 Washington

BIGGEST DROPS WITHIN THE CNR TOP-50 – Mississippi State (#34 to #49) … Georgia Tech (#32 to #46) … Indian State (#35 to #47) … Miami (#8 to #19) … Cal Poly (#31 to #42) … Stanford (#5 to #12) … Appalachian State (#27 to #34)

COLLEGE BASEBALL 360 COMPOSITE TOP-50 #10
(updated after week-9, through games on April 15, 2012)

Rank. Team … CNR Points  (previous week)
1. Florida State … 98.44 (1)
2. Florida … 98.32 (2)
3. Kentucky … 97.41 (3)
4. LSU … 94.06 (6)
5. UCLA … 93.77 (11)
6. North Carolina … 93.58 (7)
7. Baylor … 92.79 (9)
8. Texas A&M … 92.39 (4)
9. South Carolina … 91.19 (13)
10. Oregon … 88.91 (18)
11. Rice … 87.43 (14)
12. Stanford … 86.85 (5)
13. Cal State Fullerton … 85.76 (15)
14. Arkansas … 85.62 (12)
15. Arizona … 85.58 (10)
16. Purdue … 84.55 (16)
17. North Carolina State … 83.56 (20)
18. Central Florida … 82.83 (17)
19. Miami … 82.67 (8)
20. San Diego … 78.58 (21)
21. Mississippi … 78.02 (19)
22. New Mexico State … 72.06 (22)
23. Texas … 71.68 (23)
24. Sam Houston State … 71.25 (25)
25. Arizona State … 68.13 (29)
26. Oregon State … 67.83 (28)
27. Gonzaga … 67.43 (36)
28. Virginia … 64.79 (24)
29. East Carolina … 64.52 (26)
30. Missouri State … 54.12  (38)
31. Georgia … 62.95 (40)
32. Louisville … 61.67 (30)
33. Dallas Baptist … 59.17 (46)
34. Appalachian State … 57.62 (27)
35. TCU … 57.40 (50)
36. Pepperdine … 55.94 (44)
37. Clemson … 54.75 (33)
38. Oklahoma … 53.97 (–)
39. Maryland … 53.73 (41)
40. Wake Forest … 51.43 (47)
41. UC Irvine … 51.16 (–)
42. Cal Poly … 50.92 (31)
43. Virginia Tech … 50.78 (–)
44. Southeastern Louisiana … 50.30 (–)
45. Elon … 49.32 (42)
46. Georgia Tech … 49.14 (32)
47. Liberty … 48.77 (–)
47. Indiana State … 48.77 (35)
49. Mississippi State … 48.36 (34)
50. Coastal Carolina … 48.19 (–)

Next 5 – College of Charleston, USC, Tulane, Belmont & Auburn
Dropped out of top-50: #37 Texas State … #39 USC … #43 Auburn … #45 Florida Atlantic … #48 Belmont … #49 Washington

COMPOSITE NATIONAL RANKINGS (CNR) CRITERIA: As the season progresses, CB360′s 100-point Composite National Rankings formula ultimately  will be centered around upwards of 15 core ingredients – plus a bonus/penalty factor based on record over final-10 games. The CNR combines a diverse collection of “experts” (ranging from coaches, various media, computer calculations and postseason projections) – to help provide a preview of teams that could be in the running for the 2012 NCAA Championship field (hypothetically 50 teams, plus 14 others from lower-rated automatic-bid conferences).

Teams receive points based on their standings in each poll/rating/projection (60 pts for #1; 59 for #2, etc.). For polls involving voting points (coaches and CB) and the various RPI-type ratings, the CNR adjusts to reward teams that have larger margins in the voting/point totals (whereas two teams with nearly the same voting-point total will be closer in the CNR allotment for that poll). Note that strength-of-schedule typically is factored into RPI formulations … thus the actual SOS numbers are used only early in the season (SOS are not used in the CNR when RPI already are in the mix). For the NCAA field projections, teams are awarded CNR points based on their respective seedings, “last in” and “last out,” etc.

The polls/ratings/projections are averaged, with 40 points typically then added to each total in order to yield the 100-point benchmark. Early in the season (projected SOS) and late in the season (final-10 games), a maximum bonus/penalty of 0.3 (SOS) or 0.5 points (final-10) is factored into the formula (in that case, 39.7 or 39.5, rather than 40, is added to the poll/rating/projection avg.).

Here are links to the seight criteria currently used in the CNR, as of April 10, 2012:
• National Coaches Poll (USA Today/ESPN)
• National Collegiate Baseball Writers poll
• Baseball America poll
• Colllegiate Baseball magazine rankings
• Perfect Game rankings
• Official NCAA RPI
• RPI per WarrenNolan.com
• NCAA Tournament 64-team projection (Baseball America “stock report”)

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