College Baseball 360 Week-10 Composite National Rankings

April 18, 2013

CB360′s exclusive Composite National Rankings (CNR) have expanded further to include 14 total elements in the current formula – with the usual five rankings/polls (coaches, writers, Baseball America, Collegiate Baseball, & Perfect Game) along with five mathematical-based listings: official NCAA RPI, RPI and Nolan Power Rankings, Pseudo RPI and Iterative Strength Ratings, plus the Massey Power Ratings, along with NCAA field-of-64 projections from BA, PG & (links to all included at the bottom of this page).  front-page photo courtesy of Mercer

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CB360 Composite National Rankings (2013)
Preseason  |  Week-2  |  Week-3  |  Week-4  |  Week-5  |  Week-6  |  Week-7  |  Week-8  |  Week-9

(note that data below also includes some notes from the previous week’s update)

With a few weeks still left in the regular season, it’s becoming apparent that numerous teams could be contending for the final handful of spot in the NCAA tournament field. On the top end of the CNR top-50, the top-10 currently include three teams each from the ACC (#1 UNC, #6 FSU & #7 UVa) and SEC (#2 LSU, #3 Vanderbilt & surging #9 Mississippi State), plus Pac-12 teams (4) Oregon State & (8) Oregon, along with Big West leader (5) Cal State Fullerton and the Big East’s (10) Louisville.

UNC has occupied the CNR’s top spot since the completion of week-1 (Arkansas was the preseason #1) while LSU has been second in the RPI for the past two weeks (#3 the previous week). A week ago, Oregon State moved up from #5 to its current #4 spot while current #6 Florida State and (7) Virginia have swapped the respective positions that they occupied over the past two weeks.

Oregon had remained locked in the 8th position while Mississippi State has made a one-week move from 16th to 9th. Louisville has cracked the top-10, after being 12th a week ago and 16th the previous week.

Two teams that suffered series sweeps have fallen out of the top-10: South Carolina (9th to 15th, after losing three at Florida) and Indiana (10th to 17th, following an 0-3 trip to Michigan State). The previous week, IU had slipped from 9th to 10th while SC had re-entered the top-10 (up from 11th). Georgia Tech was the only team that fell out of the top-10 two weeks ago, tumbling from 10th to 18th (GT now is back up to 14th).

Scroll down for more detailed info. on the most-recent CNR top-50 update – including the automated week-by-week chart that displays where each current top-50 CNR team has been ranked on a weekly basis in 2013.

Nearly half of the teams (22) that were in the CB360 preseason top-50 have fallen outside the top-50 at some point this season: (12) TCU, (14) Florida, (20) San Diego, (24) Texas (31) Baylor, (32) New Mexico, (33) Southern Miss., (34) Coastal Carolina, (35) Missouri State, (36) Kent State, (37) Wichita State, (38) East Carolina, (39) Dallas Baptist, (40) Tulane, (41) Sam Houston State, (42) Georgia, (43) St. John’s, (44) Pepperdine, (46) College of Charleston, (47) Florida Atlantic, (48) Auburn & (49) Elon. Note that Florida, USD, FAU & Coastal have returned to the top-50.

When projecting the 16 #1 seeds in the NCAAs, based on the current CNR, there would be six from the ACC (also NC State, GT & Clemson), four SEC (also SC), four Pac-12 (also ASU & UCLA), and one each from the Big West and BIG EAST.

Scroll down for the complete CB360 top-50, along with various breakdowns from this update. Information on the CNR formula is included at the bottom of this page.

SCROLL DOWN for complete breakdown of the latest CNR update … 

CNR TOP-50 CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN (entering week-10)
 (10 … 3 top-10, 8 top-25) – (2) LSU, (3) Vanderbilt, (9) Mississippi State, (15) South Carolina, (18) Mississippi, (20) Kentucky, (23) Florida, (25) Arkansas, (46) Alabama & (47) Texas A&M
(8 … 3 top-10, 6 top-25) – (1) North Carolina,  (6) Florida State, (7) Virginia, (12) NC State, (14) Georgia Tech, (16) Clemson, (28) Miami & (29) Virginia Tech
Pacific-12 (6 … 2 top-10, 4 top-25) –  (4) Oregon State, (8) Oregon, (11) Arizona State, (13) UCLA, (27) Arizona & (38) Stanford
Big West (3 … 1 top-10, 2 top-25) – (5) Cal State Fullerton, (24) Cal Poly & (30) UC Irvine
Big Ten (3 … 1 top-25) – (17) Indiana, (32) Michigan State & (50) Illinois
Sun Belt (3 … 1 top-25) – (22) South Alabama, (45) Florida Atlantic & (48) Louisiana-Lafayette
Colonial (3) – (26) UNC Wilmington, (40) William & Mary & (42) Delaware
BIG EAST (2 … 1 top-10) – (10) Louisville & (34) Notre Dame
Big 12 (2 … 1 top-25) – (19) Oklahoma & (44) Kansas State
Atlantic Sun (2 … 1 top-25) – (21) Mercer & (43) Florida Gulf Coast
Big South (2) – (31) Coastal Carolina & (37) Campbell
West Coast (2) – (35) San Diego & (36) Gonzaga
Conference USA (2) – (39) Rice  & (41) Houston
1 Each –Ohio Valley (#49 Austin Peay) … Southland (#33 Central Arkansas)

BIGGEST JUMPS WITHIN THE CNR TOP-50 – Florida (#41 to #23) … Coastal Carolina (#47 to #31) … Mercer (#36 to #21) … Miami (#39 to #28) … Arizona (#37 to #27) … Gonzaga (#46 to #36) … Mississippi State (#16 to #9) … Clemson (#23 to #16) … Central Arkansas (#40 to #33) … previous week: Clemson (#38 to #23) … Stanford (#42 to #30) … Arizona (#49 to #37) … UC Irvine (#39 to #29) … Arizona State (#20 to #13)

RETURNERS/NEWCOMERS TO THE CNR TOP-50 – (32) Michigan State … (40) William & Mary … (42) Delaware … (50) Illinois (all but DEL were in top-50 previously this season) … previous week: (33) Campbell, (42) Louisiana-Lafayette, (46) Gonzaga, (47) Coastal Carolina, (48) Creighton & (49) Kansas State

DROPPED OUT OF THE CNR TOP-50 – (44) Oklahoma State … (45) Georgia Southern … (48) Creighton … (50) UNLV … dropped out previous week: (41) Michigan State, (43) William & Mary, (45) Dartmouth, (47) Pittsburgh, (48) Missouri State & (50) College of Charleston

BIGGEST DROPS WITHIN THE CNR TOP-50 – Florida Gulf Coast (#24 to #43) … Austin Peay (#31 to #49) … Houston (#26 to #41) … Notre Dame (#20 to #34) … Rice (#25 to #39) … Texas A&M (#34 to #47) … Alabama (#35 to #46) … Stanford (#30 to #38) … Oklahoma (#11 to #19) … Indiana (#10 to #17) … Virginia Tech (#22 to #29) … previous week: Georgia Tech (#10 to #18) … Oklahoma State (#27 to #44) … San Diego (#26 to #38) … Florida Atlantic (#33 to #43) … Ole Miss (#12 to #21) … Texas A&M (#25 to #34)

(updated after week-9, through games on April 14, 2013)

RankTeamPtsWeek-9Week-8Week-7 Week-6Week-5Week-4Week-3Week-22013 Preseason
1North Carolina99.65111111112
4Oregon State97.37453334589
5Cal State Fullerton95.52546101011182123
6Florida State94.557758712131415
9Mississippi State89.061619181512591213
11Arizona State86.76132031191521263027
12North Carolina State86.0117232116189121110
14Georgia Tech84.8018101491116201918
15South Carolina82.5991115556667
22South Alabama73.15283124314334
24Cal Poly69.832724232525272838
26UNC Wilmington67.89323441
29Virginia Tech66.48222136294125313145
30UC Irvine65.10293926283222212230
31Coastal Carolina64.5447 3934
32Michigan State 62.9641
33Central Arkansas62.29403635212744
34Notre Dame60.43201817181924294150
35San Diego60.333826393035363320
40William & Mary56.7143
42Delaware 55.54
43Florida Gulf Coast55.3324282832232822
44Kansas State54.964947
45Florida Atlantic54.1343335047
47Texas A&M53.17342527263940372625
49Austin Peay52.213129384147
50Illinois 51.674750


COMPOSITE NATIONAL RANKINGS (CNR) CRITERIA: As the season progresses, CB360′s 100-point Composite National Rankings formula ultimately becomes centered around upwards of 16 core ingredients – plus a bonus/penalty factor based on record over final-10 games. The CNR combines a diverse collection of “experts” (ranging from coaches, various media, computer calculations and postseason projections) – to help provide a preview of teams that could be in the running for the 2012 NCAA Championship field (hypothetically 50 teams, plus 14 others from lower-rated automatic-bid conferences).

Teams receive points based on their standings in each poll/rating/projection (60 pts for #1; 59 for #2, etc.). For polls involving voting points (coaches and CB) and the various RPI-type ratings, the CNR adjusts to reward teams that have larger margins in the voting/point totals (whereas two teams with nearly the same voting-point total will be closer in the CNR allotment for that poll). Note that strength-of-schedule typically is factored into RPI formulations … thus the actual SOS numbers are used only early in the season (SOS are not used in the CNR when RPI already are in the mix). For the NCAA field projections, teams are awarded CNR points based on their respective seedings, “last in” and “last out,” etc.

The polls/ratings/projections are averaged, with 40 points typically then added to each total in order to yield the 100-point benchmark. Early in the season (projected SOS) and late in the season (final-10 games), a maximum bonus/penalty of 0.3 (SOS) or 0.5 points (final-10) is factored into the formula (in that case, 39.7 or 39.5, rather than 40, is added to the poll/rating/projection avg.).

Here are links to the 14 criteria currently used in the CNR, as of April 18, 2013:
• National Coaches Poll (USA Today/ESPN); top-25 plus rec. votes
• National Collegiate Baseball Writers poll (top-30, plus rec. votes)
• Baseball America poll (top-25, plus NCAA tournament projection/through top-51)
• Colllegiate Baseball magazine rankings (top-30)
• Perfect Game rankings (top-25, plus others to watch) & NCAA projection
• Official NCAA RPI
• RPI; top-60
• Boyds World Iterative Strength Ratings; top-60
• Boyds World Pseudo-RPI; top-60
• Nolan Power Index (NPI); top-60 NCAA field-of-64
Massey Po
wer Ratings

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