CB360 Composite Top-50 Update #7

March 29, 2012
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The March 26 CNR Top-50, Presented By Dugouthats.com

With college baseball nearing its midpoint, the CB360 Composite National Rankings (CNR) formula is on the verge of expanding … but for now the ingredients remain the same as earlier in the season – and the top-5 teams are unchanged from a weak ago (Florida, Stanford, Arkansas, Florida State and North Carolina at 1-5).    front-page photo courtesy of Purdue

Two teams – current #7 Texas A&M (up from #12) and #8 UCLA (formerly #11) – have returned to the top-10, replacing Arizona (dropped from #7 to #13) and Rice (fell from #8 to #11). Despite suffering its first loss of the season, Kentucky moved up from #9 to #6 (maybe a delayed poll bump from some around the country?) while Miami slid up one spot to #9 and South Carolina (previously #6) now holds down the final spot in the top-10.

It’s a bit early to begin looking too closely at RPI-type numbers (a lot can change during conference play), but the CNR will start incorporating those factors into next week’s top-50 update.

Earlier CB360 Composite National Rankings (2012 season) …
• Preseason … • Update #2 … • Update #3 … • Update #4 … Update #5Update #6

The CB360 top-10 now includes four teams from the SEC and three from the ACC, plus two Pac-12 and one out of the Big 12. When projecting the 16 #1 seeds in the NCAAs, based on the current CNR, there would be five from the SEC, four ACC, three Pac-12, two Conference USA and one each from the Big 12 and Big West. Half of the current top-50 come from either the SEC (9), ACC (8) or Pac-12 (8).

Purdue (#19) has cracked the top-20 while surging San Diego jumped from #46 to the outside edge of the top-25 (#26).

Scroll down for the complete CB360 top-50, along with various breakdowns from this update. Information on the CNR formula is included at the bottom of this page.

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SCROLL DOWN for complete breakdown of the latest CNR update … 

CNR TOP-50 CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN (after week-6)
SEC 
(9 … 4 top-10, 7 top-25) – #1 Florida, #3 Arkansas, #6 Kentucky, #10 South Carolina, #14 LSU, #18 Mississippi, #21 Georgia, #27 Auburn & #32 Mississippi State 
ACC (8 … 3 top-10, 4 top-25) – #4 Florida State, #5 North Carolina, #9 Miami, #16 North Carolina State, #28 Georgia Tech, #31 Maryland, #33 Virginia & #49 Clemson 
Pacific-12
 
(8 … 2 top-10, 6 top-25) – #2 Stanford, #8 UCLA, #13 Arizona, #17 Oregon, #23 Oregon State, #24 Arizona State, #36 California & #44 Washington
Big 12 (4 … 1 top-10, 3 top-25) – #7 Texas A&M, #20 Texas, #22 Baylor & #30 Oklahoma
Conference USA (3 … 2 top-25) –  #11 Rice, #15 Central Florida & #37 East Carolina
Big South (3) – #34 Liberty, #39 Coastal Carolina & #42 Campbell
Big West
 
(3 … 1 top-25) – #12 Cal State Fullerton, #35 Cal Poly & #48 UC Irvine
West Coast (3) – #26 San Diego, #46 Gonzaga & #47 Pepperdine 
Southern (2) – #41 College of Charleston & #43 Appalachian State
Southland (2) – #45 Texas State & #50 Souteastern Louisiana 
1 Each – Big Ten (#19 Purdue) … BIG EAST (#25 Louisville) … Missouri Valley (#29 Missouri State) … Mountain West (#38 TCU) … Western Athletic (#40 New Mexico State)

BIGGEST JUMPS IN THE CNR TOP-50 – Virginia (#49 to #33) … San Diego (#40 to #26) … Baylor (#29 to #22)

NEWCOMERS/RETURNERS TO THE CNR TOP-50 – #27 Auburn, #29 Missouri State, #40 New Mexico State, #46 Gonzaga and #50 Southeastern Louisiana (all but Auburn & NMSU were in top-50 earlier in the 2012 season)

DROPPED OUT OF THE CNR TOP-50 – #27 Stetson, #41 USC, #44 Hawaii, #48 Tulane & #50 Wake Forest

BIGGEST DROPS WITHIN THE CNR TOP-50 – Texas State (#28 to #45) … Clemson (#33 to #49) … Georgia Tech (#15 to #28) … Appalachian State (#30 to #43) … Pepperdine (#38 to #47) … TCU (#26 to #38)

COLLEGE BASBALL 360 COMPOSITE TOP-50 #7
(updated after week-6, through games on March 25, 2012)

Rank. Team … CNR Points  (previous week)
1. Florida … 99.92 (1)
2. Stanford … 98.65 (2)
3. Arkansas … 97.43 (3)
4. Florida State … 96.47 (4)
5. North Carolina … 95.16 (5)
6. Kentucky … 93.13 (9)
7. Texas A&M … 92.79 (12)
8. UCLA … 92.44 (11)
9. Miami … 91.38 (10)
10. South Carolina … 89.30 (6)
11. Rice … 88.82 (8)
12. Cal State Fullerton … 88.78 (14)
13. Arizona … 88.61 (7)
14. LSU … 85.26 (13)
15. Central Florida … 82.10 (21)
16. North Carolina State … 80.32 (16)
17. Oregon … 79.79 (20)
18. Mississippi … 79.00 (19)
19. Purdue … 78.76 (22)
20. Texas … 78.41 (24)
21. Georgia … 77.93 (17)
22. Baylor … 77.76 (29)
23. Oregon State … 77.03 (18)
24. Arizona State … 76.66 (23)
25. Louisville … 73.92 (25)
26. San Diego … 65.80 (40)
27. Auburn … 62.86 (–)
28. Georgia Tech … 62.41 (15)
29. Missouri State … 61.87  (–)
30. Oklahoma … 59.19 (36)
31. Maryland … 57.31 (31)
32. Mississippi State … 55.72 (34)
33. Virginia … 55.42 (49)
34. Liberty … 55.22 (39)
35. Cal Poly … 54.99 (37)
36. California … 53.76 (32)
37. East Carolina … 53.54 (35)
38. TCU … 53.17 (26)
39. Coastal Carolina … 50.45 (43)
40. New Mexico State … 50.22 ( –)
41. College of Charleston … 49.54 (42)
42. Campbell … 48.72 (47)
43. Appalachian State … 48.60 (30)
44. Washington … 48.41 (46)
45. Texas State … 48.24 (28)
46. Gonzaga … 47.76 (46)
47. Pepperdine … 47.75 (38)
48. UC Irvine … 47.41 (45)
49. Clemson … 47.10 (33)
50. Southeastern Louisiana … 46.88 (–)

Next 3 – Stetson, Sam Houston State and Wake Forest
Dropped out of top-50: #27 Stetson, #41 USC, #44 Hawaii, #48 Tulane & #50 Wake Forest

COMPOSITE NATIONAL RANKINGS (CNR) CRITERIA: As the season progresses, CB360′s 100-point Composite National Rankings formula ultimately  will be centered around upwards of 15 core ingredients – plus a bonus/penalty factor based on record over final-10 games. The CNR combines a diverse collection of “experts” (ranging from coaches, various media, computer calculations and postseason projections) – to help provide a preview of teams that could be in the running for the 2012 NCAA Championship field (hypothetically 50 teams, plus 14 others from lower-rated automatic-bid conferences).

Teams receive points based on their standings in each poll/rating/projection (60 pts for #1; 59 for #2, etc.). For polls involving voting points (coaches and CB) and the various RPI-type ratings, the CNR adjusts to reward teams that have larger margins in the voting/point totals (whereas two teams with nearly the same voting-point total will be closer in the CNR allotment for that poll). Note that strength-of-schedule typically is factored into RPI formulations … thus the actual SOS numbers are used only early in the season (SOS are not used in the CNR when RPI already are in the mix). For the NCAA field projections, teams are awarded CNR points based on their respective seedings, “last in” and “last out,” etc.

The polls/ratings/projections are averaged, with 40 points typically then added to each total in order to yield the 100-point benchmark. Early in the season (projected SOS) and late in the season (final-10 games), a maximum bonus/penalty of 0.3 (SOS) or 0.5 points (final-10) is factored into the formula (in that case, 39.7 or 39.5, rather than 40, is added to the poll/rating/projection avg.).

Here are links to the six criteria currently used in the CNR, as of March 5, 2012:
• National Coaches Poll (USA Today/ESPN), preseason/no update after opening week
• National Collegiate Baseball Writers poll
• Baseball America poll
• Colllegiate Baseball magazine rankings
• Perfect Game rankings
• Boyd’s World preseason projected season strength-of-schedule (bonus points)

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