College Baseball Composite Rankings #11

April 26, 2012
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The April 24 CNR Top-50, Presented By Dugouthats.com …

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The formula for the CB360 Composite National Rankings (CNR) has expanded to include 15 elements – six polls, five RPI-type formulations and four NCAA Tournament projections – with Florida State retaining the top spot for the third straight week while Florida still is #2 (after spending eight weeks in the #1 position). Two other teams – #3 Kentucky and #5 UCLA – likewise retained their positions in the CNR top-10 – while Baylor jumped from #7 to #4, South Carolina moved from #9 to #7, Rice returned to the top-10 (#11 to #8) and Purdue cracked the top-10 (#9, up from #16) for the first time this season. LSU (#4 to #6) and North Carolina (#6 to #10) dropped back but stayed in the top-10, with Oregon slipping from #10 to #14 and Texas A&M from #8 to #16.  front-page photo courtesy of Purdue

Scroll down for more info. on the most-recent CNR top-50 update – including the return of the week-by-week chart that displays where each current top-50 CNR team has been ranked on a weekly basis in 2012.

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The CNR formula now includes 15 elements (links to each at bottom of this page):
• Six national polls/rankings, from the coaches (USA Today/ESPN), the writers (NCBWA), Baseball America, Collegiate Baseball magazine, Perfect Game & ESPN (top-20 Power Poll)
• Five RPI-type formulations (NCAA official RPI … RPI calculations from Warren Nolan & Boyds World … Boyds ISR … and Warren Nolan’s NPI
• Four NCAA Tournament 64-team field projections – from BA, PG, ESPN (Bracketology) & SEBaseball.com

Elsewhere in the CB360 top-50, LSU bumped up from #6 to #4, North Carolina moved from #7 to #6 and Baylor now is #9 (up from #7). Three teams moved into the top-10 – UCLA (#11 to #5), South Carolina (#13 to #9) and Oregon (#18 to #10) – while Texas A&M slid from #4 to #8. The three teams that dropped out of the top-10 include: Stanford (#5 to #12), Miami (#8 to #19) and Arizona (#10 to #15).

Earlier CB360 Composite National Rankings (2012 season) …
• Preseason … • Update #2 … • #3 … • #4 … • #5 … • #6 … • #7 … • #8 … • #9 … • #10

The CB360 top-10 now includes four teams from the SEC, two from the and one each from the Big 12, Pac-12, Conference USA and Big Ten. When projecting the 16 #1 seeds in the NCAAs, based on the current CNR, there would be four each from the SEC and Pac-12, two ACC, two Conference USA, two Big 12, and one each from the Big Ten and Big West. Half of the current top-50 come from either the ACC (10), SEC (8) or Pac-12 (7).

Four teams have returned to the CB360 top-50, along with newcomer UNC Wilmington (#47).

Scroll down for the complete CB360 top-50, along with various breakdowns from this update. Information on the CNR formula is included at the bottom of this page.

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SCROLL DOWN for complete breakdown of the latest CNR update … 

CNR TOP-50 CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN (after week-10)
ACC 
(10 … 2 top-10, 4 top-25) – #1 Florida State, #10 North Carolina, #18 North Carolina State, #21 Miami, #26 Virginia, #31 Clemson, #39 Georgia Tech, #40 Wake Forest, #42 Maryland, #45 Virginia Tech
SEC (8 … 4 top-10, 6 top-25) – #2 Florida, #3 Kentucky, #6 LSU, #7 South Carolina, #17 Mississippi, #20 Arkansas, #37 Georgia & #46 Mississippi State
Pacific-12 (7 …2 top-10, 5 top-25) – #5 UCLA, #12 Stanford, #14 Oregon, #15 Arizona, #22 Oregon State, #34 Arizona State & #49 Washington
Big 12 (4 … 1 top-10, 3 top-25) – #4 Baylor, #16 Texas A&M, #25 Texas & #43 Oklahoma
Conference USA
 (3 … 1 top-10, 2 top-25) –  #8 Rice, #11 Central Florida & #27 East Carolina
Southland (3 … 1 top-25) – #24  Sam Houston State, #44 Southeastern Louisiana & #47 Texas State
West Coast (3 … 1 top-25) – #19 San Diego, #29 Gonzaga & #38 Pepperdine
Missouri Valley
 
(2) – #32 Missouri State & #41 Indiana State
Southern
 (2) – #30 Appalachian State & #33 College of Charleston  
1 Each
 – Big Ten (#9 Purdue) … Big West (#13 Cal State Fullerton) … Western Athletic (#23 New Mexico State)  … BIG EAST (#28 Louisville)… independent (#35 Dallas Baptist) … Mountain West (#36 TCU) … Colonial (#48 UNC Wilmington) … Big South (#50 Campbell)

BIGGEST JUMPS IN THE CNR TOP-50 – Purdue (#16 to #9) Georgia Tech (#46 to #39) … Indiana State (#48 to #41) … no other teams moved more than six spots

NEWCOMERS/RETURNERS TO THE CNR TOP-50 – #33 College of Charleston … #47 Texas State … #48 UNC Wilmington … #49 Washington … #50 Campbell (all but UNCW were in top-50 earlier this season)

DROPPED OUT OF THE CNR TOP-50 – #41 UC Irvine … #42 Cal Poly … #45 Elon … #47 Liberty … #50 Coastal Carolina

BIGGEST DROPS WITHIN THE CNR TOP-50 – Arizona State (#25 to #34) … Texas A&M #8 to #16 … no other teams moved more than six spots

COLLEGE BASEBALL 360 COMPOSITE TOP-50 Update #11
(updated after week-10, through games on April 22, 2012)

RankTeamPtsWeek-9Week-8Week-7Week-6Week-5Week-4Week-3Week-2Week-12012 Preseason
1Florida State97.96112426991112
2Florida97.012211111111
3Kentucky96.72334692835
4Baylor96.08791622293831252629
5UCLA92.0451158111221182516
6LSU91.31461114131315131010
7South Carolina91.149131010633362
8Rice90.3711141111874456
9Purdue89.2016161919222130404048
10North Carolina89.186735547664
11Central Florida86.7318171815212022283030
12Stanford86.0112582222233
13Cal State Fullerton85.4313151512141013152019
14Oregon84.9010182117201612203640
15Arizona84.5715106137910111414
16Texas A&M82.4984771285545
17Mississippi79.4821191418191416233133
18North Carolina State78.981720171616235046
19San Diego78.01202122264019
20Arkansas76.02141293356778
21Miami74.65198139101114101215
22Oregon State73.3926282023182229292127
23New Mexico State73.1722222640
24Sam Houston State71.12242537
25Texas66.86232323202441341987
26Virginia65.9828243133494242272923
27East Carolina65.9329262937353637383331
28Louisville63.2532302525252618212328
29Gonzaga63.232736384643
30Appalachian State62.12342733433046
31Clemson61.5137334749333519141618
32Missouri State60.303038362949464942
33College of Charleston58.9849414538343236
34Arizona State58.6725292724231917161721
35Dallas Baptist58.2433463837
36TCU57.8935504838263333221313
37Georgia57.6531403021171711121520
38Pepperdine57.5836444738394342
39Georgia Tech57.254632282815158899
40Wake Forest56.5540474350
41Indiana State55.724735
42 Maryland54.393941503131302333
43Oklahoma54.34383230361820171917
44Southeastern Louisiana52.91445049
45Virginia Tech52.0443
46Mississippi State50.6549344232342726393732
47Texas State49.49373545282532-47
48UNC Wilmington 48.30
49Washington 47.7449454446
50Campbell 47.714247

**
Next 5 –
 Coastal Carolina, USC, Elon, California & South Florida
Dropped out of top-50: #41 UC Irvine … #42 Cal Poly … #45 Elon … #47 Liberty … #50 Coastal Carolina

COMPOSITE NATIONAL RANKINGS (CNR) CRITERIA: As the season progresses, CB360′s 100-point Composite National Rankings formula ultimately becomes centered around upwards of 15 core ingredients – plus a bonus/penalty factor based on record over final-10 games. The CNR combines a diverse collection of “experts” (ranging from coaches, various media, computer calculations and postseason projections) – to help provide a preview of teams that could be in the running for the 2012 NCAA Championship field (hypothetically 50 teams, plus 14 others from lower-rated automatic-bid conferences).

Teams receive points based on their standings in each poll/rating/projection (60 pts for #1; 59 for #2, etc.). For polls involving voting points (coaches and CB) and the various RPI-type ratings, the CNR adjusts to reward teams that have larger margins in the voting/point totals (whereas two teams with nearly the same voting-point total will be closer in the CNR allotment for that poll). Note that strength-of-schedule typically is factored into RPI formulations … thus the actual SOS numbers are used only early in the season (SOS are not used in the CNR when RPI already are in the mix). For the NCAA field projections, teams are awarded CNR points based on their respective seedings, “last in” and “last out,” etc.

The polls/ratings/projections are averaged, with 40 points typically then added to each total in order to yield the 100-point benchmark. Early in the season (projected SOS) and late in the season (final-10 games), a maximum bonus/penalty of 0.3 (SOS) or 0.5 points (final-10) is factored into the formula (in that case, 39.7 or 39.5, rather than 40, is added to the poll/rating/projection avg.).

Here are links to the 15 criteria currently used in the CNR, as of April 10, 2012:
• National Coaches Poll (USA Today/ESPN)
• National Collegiate Baseball Writers poll
• Baseball America poll
• Colllegiate Baseball magazine rankings
• Perfect Game rankings
ESPN Top-20 Power Poll
• Official NCAA RPI
• RPI per WarrenNolan.com
RPI per BoydsWorld.com
• Iterative Strength Ratings (ISR) per BoydsWorld.com
Nolan Power Index (NPI) per WarrenNolan.com
• NCAA 64-team projection per Baseball America “stock report”
NCAA 64-team projection per Perfect Game
NCAA 64-team projection per ESPN Bracketology
NCAA 64-team listing per SEBaseball.com

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