The April 24 CNR Top-50, Presented By Dugouthats.com …
The formula for the CB360 Composite National Rankings (CNR) has expanded to include 15 elements – six polls, five RPI-type formulations and four NCAA Tournament projections – with Florida State retaining the top spot for the third straight week while Florida still is #2 (after spending eight weeks in the #1 position). Two other teams – #3 Kentucky and #5 UCLA – likewise retained their positions in the CNR top-10 – while Baylor jumped from #7 to #4, South Carolina moved from #9 to #7, Rice returned to the top-10 (#11 to #8) and Purdue cracked the top-10 (#9, up from #16) for the first time this season. LSU (#4 to #6) and North Carolina (#6 to #10) dropped back but stayed in the top-10, with Oregon slipping from #10 to #14 and Texas A&M from #8 to #16. front-page photo courtesy of Purdue
Scroll down for more info. on the most-recent CNR top-50 update – including the return of the week-by-week chart that displays where each current top-50 CNR team has been ranked on a weekly basis in 2012.
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The CNR formula now includes 15 elements (links to each at bottom of this page):
• Six national polls/rankings, from the coaches (USA Today/ESPN), the writers (NCBWA), Baseball America, Collegiate Baseball magazine, Perfect Game & ESPN (top-20 Power Poll)
• Five RPI-type formulations (NCAA official RPI … RPI calculations from Warren Nolan & Boyds World … Boyds ISR … and Warren Nolan’s NPI
• Four NCAA Tournament 64-team field projections – from BA, PG, ESPN (Bracketology) & SEBaseball.com
Elsewhere in the CB360 top-50, LSU bumped up from #6 to #4, North Carolina moved from #7 to #6 and Baylor now is #9 (up from #7). Three teams moved into the top-10 – UCLA (#11 to #5), South Carolina (#13 to #9) and Oregon (#18 to #10) – while Texas A&M slid from #4 to #8. The three teams that dropped out of the top-10 include: Stanford (#5 to #12), Miami (#8 to #19) and Arizona (#10 to #15).
The CB360 top-10 now includes four teams from the SEC, two from the and one each from the Big 12, Pac-12, Conference USA and Big Ten. When projecting the 16 #1 seeds in the NCAAs, based on the current CNR, there would be four each from the SEC and Pac-12, two ACC, two Conference USA, two Big 12, and one each from the Big Ten and Big West. Half of the current top-50 come from either the ACC (10), SEC (8) or Pac-12 (7).
Four teams have returned to the CB360 top-50, along with newcomer UNC Wilmington (#47).
Scroll down for the complete CB360 top-50, along with various breakdowns from this update. Information on the CNR formula is included at the bottom of this page.
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SCROLL DOWN for complete breakdown of the latest CNR update …
CNR TOP-50 CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN (after week-10)
ACC (10 … 2 top-10, 4 top-25) – #1 Florida State, #10 North Carolina, #18 North Carolina State, #21 Miami, #26 Virginia, #31 Clemson, #39 Georgia Tech, #40 Wake Forest, #42 Maryland, #45 Virginia Tech
SEC (8 … 4 top-10, 6 top-25) – #2 Florida, #3 Kentucky, #6 LSU, #7 South Carolina, #17 Mississippi, #20 Arkansas, #37 Georgia & #46 Mississippi State
Pacific-12 (7 …2 top-10, 5 top-25) – #5 UCLA, #12 Stanford, #14 Oregon, #15 Arizona, #22 Oregon State, #34 Arizona State & #49 Washington
Big 12 (4 … 1 top-10, 3 top-25) – #4 Baylor, #16 Texas A&M, #25 Texas & #43 Oklahoma
Conference USA (3 … 1 top-10, 2 top-25) – #8 Rice, #11 Central Florida & #27 East Carolina
Southland (3 … 1 top-25) – #24 Sam Houston State, #44 Southeastern Louisiana & #47 Texas State
West Coast (3 … 1 top-25) – #19 San Diego, #29 Gonzaga & #38 Pepperdine
Missouri Valley (2) – #32 Missouri State & #41 Indiana State
Southern (2) – #30 Appalachian State & #33 College of Charleston
1 Each – Big Ten (#9 Purdue) … Big West (#13 Cal State Fullerton) … Western Athletic (#23 New Mexico State) … BIG EAST (#28 Louisville)… independent (#35 Dallas Baptist) … Mountain West (#36 TCU) … Colonial (#48 UNC Wilmington) … Big South (#50 Campbell)
BIGGEST JUMPS IN THE CNR TOP-50 – Purdue (#16 to #9) Georgia Tech (#46 to #39) … Indiana State (#48 to #41) … no other teams moved more than six spots
NEWCOMERS/RETURNERS TO THE CNR TOP-50 – #33 College of Charleston … #47 Texas State … #48 UNC Wilmington … #49 Washington … #50 Campbell (all but UNCW were in top-50 earlier this season)
DROPPED OUT OF THE CNR TOP-50 – #41 UC Irvine … #42 Cal Poly … #45 Elon … #47 Liberty … #50 Coastal Carolina
BIGGEST DROPS WITHIN THE CNR TOP-50 – Arizona State (#25 to #34) … Texas A&M #8 to #16 … no other teams moved more than six spots
COLLEGE BASEBALL 360 COMPOSITE TOP-50 Update #11
(updated after week-10, through games on April 22, 2012)
|13||Cal State Fullerton||85.43||13||15||15||12||14||10||13||15||20||19|
|18||North Carolina State||78.98||17||20||17||16||16||23||50||–||–||46|
|23||New Mexico State||73.17||22||22||26||40||–||–||–||–||–||–|
|24||Sam Houston State||71.12||24||25||37||–||–||–||–||–||–||–|
|33||College of Charleston||58.98||–||–||49||41||–||45||38||34||32||36|
Next 5 – Coastal Carolina, USC, Elon, California & South Florida
Dropped out of top-50: #41 UC Irvine … #42 Cal Poly … #45 Elon … #47 Liberty … #50 Coastal Carolina
COMPOSITE NATIONAL RANKINGS (CNR) CRITERIA: As the season progresses, CB360′s 100-point Composite National Rankings formula ultimately becomes centered around upwards of 15 core ingredients – plus a bonus/penalty factor based on record over final-10 games. The CNR combines a diverse collection of “experts” (ranging from coaches, various media, computer calculations and postseason projections) – to help provide a preview of teams that could be in the running for the 2012 NCAA Championship field (hypothetically 50 teams, plus 14 others from lower-rated automatic-bid conferences).
Teams receive points based on their standings in each poll/rating/projection (60 pts for #1; 59 for #2, etc.). For polls involving voting points (coaches and CB) and the various RPI-type ratings, the CNR adjusts to reward teams that have larger margins in the voting/point totals (whereas two teams with nearly the same voting-point total will be closer in the CNR allotment for that poll). Note that strength-of-schedule typically is factored into RPI formulations … thus the actual SOS numbers are used only early in the season (SOS are not used in the CNR when RPI already are in the mix). For the NCAA field projections, teams are awarded CNR points based on their respective seedings, “last in” and “last out,” etc.
The polls/ratings/projections are averaged, with 40 points typically then added to each total in order to yield the 100-point benchmark. Early in the season (projected SOS) and late in the season (final-10 games), a maximum bonus/penalty of 0.3 (SOS) or 0.5 points (final-10) is factored into the formula (in that case, 39.7 or 39.5, rather than 40, is added to the poll/rating/projection avg.).
Here are links to the 15 criteria currently used in the CNR, as of April 10, 2012:
• National Coaches Poll (USA Today/ESPN)
• National Collegiate Baseball Writers poll
• Baseball America poll
• Colllegiate Baseball magazine rankings
• Perfect Game rankings
• ESPN Top-20 Power Poll
• Official NCAA RPI
• RPI per WarrenNolan.com
• RPI per BoydsWorld.com
• Iterative Strength Ratings (ISR) per BoydsWorld.com
• Nolan Power Index (NPI) per WarrenNolan.com
• NCAA 64-team projection per Baseball America “stock report”
• NCAA 64-team projection per Perfect Game
• NCAA 64-team projection per ESPN Bracketology
• NCAA 64-team listing per SEBaseball.com