The May 1 CNR Top-50, Presented By Dugouthats.com …
The CB360 Composite National Rankings (CNR) is beginning to settle, with few significant movements over the past week. Florida State remains in the top position for the fourth straight week and Baylor has moved up from #4 to #2 – followed by four SEC teams in the #3-#6 spots: Florida (down from #2), LSU (up from #6), Kentucky (previously #3) and South Carolina (crept up from #7). Stanford’s series win at UCLA vaulted the Cardinal back into the the top-10 (from #12 to #7), with the Bruins slipping from #5 to #9. Current #8 Purdue bumped up a spot and #10 Rice (down from #8) rounds out the top-10, with North Carolina falling from #10 to #11. front-page photo courtesy of Mississippi State
Scroll down for more info. on the most-recent CNR top-50 update – including the return of the week-by-week chart that displays where each current top-50 CNR team has been ranked on a weekly basis in 2012.
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The CNR formula now includes 16 elements (links to each at bottom of this page):
• Six national polls/rankings, from the coaches (USA Today/ESPN), the writers (NCBWA), Baseball America, Collegiate Baseball magazine, Perfect Game & ESPN (top-20 Power Poll)
• Six RPI-type formulations (NCAA official RPI … RPI calculations from Warren Nolan & Boyds World … Boyds ISR … Warren Nolan predicted RPI … and Warren Nolan’s NPI)
• Four NCAA Tournament 64-team field projections – from BA, PG, ESPN (Bracketology) & SEBaseball.com
The CB360 top-10 now includes four teams from the SEC, two from the Pac-12 and one each from the ACC, Big 12, Conference USA and Big Ten. When projecting the 16 #1 seeds in the NCAAs, based on the current CNR, there would be five from the SEC, four Pac-12, three ACC, two Big 12, and one each from the Big Ten and Big Conference USA. Half of the current top-50 come from either the ACC (10), SEC (9) or Pac-12 (6).
Three teams have returned to the CB360 top-50 (#34 Coastal Carolina, #48 Auburn & #50 Elon). Mississippi State – coming off a series win vs. rival Mississippi – made a huge jump from #46 to #31 in the CNR and now is being projected as a #2 regional seed in the NCAAs.
Scroll down for the complete CB360 top-50, along with various breakdowns from this update. Information on the CNR formula is included at the bottom of this page.
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SCROLL DOWN for complete breakdown of the latest CNR update …
CNR TOP-50 CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN (after week-11)
ACC (10 … 1 top-10, 5 top-25) – #1 Florida State, #11 North Carolina, #16 North Carolina State, #19 Virginia, #23 Miami, #35 Clemson, #39 Virginia Tech, #41 Georgia Tech, #43 Wake Forest, #49 Maryland
SEC (9 … 4 top-10, 6 top-25) – #2 Florida, #4 LSU, #5 Kentucky, #6 South Carolina, #15 Arkansas, #21 Mississippi, #31 Mississippi State, #42 Georgia & #48 Auburn
Pacific-12 (6 …2 top-10, 4 top-25) – #7 Stanford, #9 UCLA, #12 Oregon, #13 Arizona, #26 Oregon State & #33 Arizona State
Big 12 (4 … 1 top-10, 2 top-25) – #2 Baylor, #14 Texas A&M, #29 Texas & #45 Oklahoma
Conference USA (3 … 1 top-10, 2 top-25) – #10 Rice, #18 Central Florida & #27 East Carolina
Southern (3) – #28 Appalachian State, #30 College of Charleston & #50 Elon
West Coast (3 … 1 top-25) – #20 San Diego, #32 Pepperdine & #37 Gonzaga
Missouri Valley (2) – #36 Missouri State & #46 Indiana State
Southland (2 … 1 top-25) – #25 Sam Houston State & #44 Southeastern Louisiana
1 Each – Big Ten (#8 Purdue) … Big West (#17 Cal State Fullerton) … BIG EAST (#22 Louisville)… Western Athletic (#24 New Mexico State) … Big South (#34 Coastal Carolina) … Mountain West (#38 TCU) … independent (#40 Dallas Baptist) … Colonial (#47 UNC Wilmington)
BIGGEST JUMPS IN THE CNR TOP-50 – Mississippi State (#46 to #31) … Virginia (#26 to #19)
RETURNERS TO THE CNR TOP-50 – #34 Coastal Carolina … #48 Auburn … #50 Elon
DROPPED OUT OF THE CNR TOP-50 – #47 Texas State, #49 Washington & #50 Campbell
BIGGEST DROPS WITHIN THE CNR TOP-50 – Central Florida (#11 to #18) … Maryland (#42 to #49)
COLLEGE BASEBALL 360 COMPOSITE TOP-50 Update #12
(updated after week-11, through games on April 29, 2012)
|16||North Carolina State||84.03||18||17||20||17||16||16||23||50||–||–||46|
|17||Cal State Fullerton||83.60||13||13||15||15||12||14||10||13||15||20||19|
|24||New Mexico State||69.28||23||22||22||26||40||–||–||–||–||–||–|
|25||Sam Houston State||68.01||24||24||25||37||–||–||–||–||–||–||–|
|30||College of Charleston||62.81||33||–||–||49||41||–||45||38||34||32||36|
Next 5 – St. John’s, USC, Texas State, Campbell & Michigan State
Dropped out of top-50: #47 Texas State, #49 Washington & #50 Campbell
COMPOSITE NATIONAL RANKINGS (CNR) CRITERIA: As the season progresses, CB360′s 100-point Composite National Rankings formula ultimately becomes centered around upwards of 16 core ingredients – plus a bonus/penalty factor based on record over final-10 games. The CNR combines a diverse collection of “experts” (ranging from coaches, various media, computer calculations and postseason projections) – to help provide a preview of teams that could be in the running for the 2012 NCAA Championship field (hypothetically 50 teams, plus 14 others from lower-rated automatic-bid conferences).
Teams receive points based on their standings in each poll/rating/projection (60 pts for #1; 59 for #2, etc.). For polls involving voting points (coaches and CB) and the various RPI-type ratings, the CNR adjusts to reward teams that have larger margins in the voting/point totals (whereas two teams with nearly the same voting-point total will be closer in the CNR allotment for that poll). Note that strength-of-schedule typically is factored into RPI formulations … thus the actual SOS numbers are used only early in the season (SOS are not used in the CNR when RPI already are in the mix). For the NCAA field projections, teams are awarded CNR points based on their respective seedings, “last in” and “last out,” etc.
The polls/ratings/projections are averaged, with 40 points typically then added to each total in order to yield the 100-point benchmark. Early in the season (projected SOS) and late in the season (final-10 games), a maximum bonus/penalty of 0.3 (SOS) or 0.5 points (final-10) is factored into the formula (in that case, 39.7 or 39.5, rather than 40, is added to the poll/rating/projection avg.).
Here are links to the 16 criteria currently used in the CNR, as of April 10, 2012:
• National Coaches Poll (USA Today/ESPN)
• National Collegiate Baseball Writers poll
• Baseball America poll
• Colllegiate Baseball magazine rankings
• Perfect Game rankings
• ESPN Top-20 Power Poll
• Official NCAA RPI
• RPI per WarrenNolan.com
• RPI per BoydsWorld.com
• Iterative Strength Ratings (ISR) per BoydsWorld.com
• Predicted RPI per WarrenNolan.com
• Nolan Power Index (NPI) per WarrenNolan.com
• NCAA 64-team projection per Baseball America “stock report”
• NCAA 64-team projection per Perfect Game
• NCAA 64-team projection per ESPN Bracketology (April 24)
• NCAA 64-team listing per SEBaseball.com